Saturday, 22 June 2013

Knicks 12/13 Season: Post Mortem.


The Knicks season ended prematurely, and frankly, I’m surprised it lasted as long as it did.

The fact that we grabbed the number 2 seed is testament to how bad (banged up) the Eastern Conference is rather than how good NY is. Let’s break down our 2 seed consensus “contender”. How many potential Championship pieces were sitting in the Knick locker room after being bullied by the Pacers for 6 games? I count 3; Melo, Shump and Chandler. I’ll talk about them last. First let’s break down the rest of the room.

The Veterans: Camby (39), Kidd, (40), Q. Rich (33), Martin (35), Prigioni (36).

Camby did nothing all year, was hurt a lot, and ended up just being a veteran voice in the ear of cinderalla man Chris Copeland. I have no idea why Richardson was bought in. When the Knicks were good during the regular season – Jason Kidd was invariably involved. Making decisions in the 4th quarter, swinging the ball, knocking down timely 3’s, directing traffic all over the floor and being in the right place on D – he did all the little things. He was reliable, master of the clutch play as well as the odd clutch bucket, and the perfect pass first counterweight to Melo’s isolation. Then in the playoffs he disappeared, ran out of gas, lost his stroke – he probably played too many minutes in the regular season, regardless his lost production hurt the Knicks as much as or more than the more publicized J.R Smiths struggles.

Now two guys who stepped up in the postseason, Martin and Prigioni. K Mart was huge towards the end of the regular season and against the banged up Celtics. He played defense and rebounded – exactly what the playoffs place a premium on and the Knicks lack. Prigioni was the most refreshing of revelations all year, a reliable pass first PG, who earned his nickname “Sneak” with unrelenting pest like defense. He made big shots in the playoffs. Frankly the Knicks don’t get past Boston without these two, neither of which is likely to return next year due to the woeful cap situation in NY, and both – rightly – looking to cash in on good seasons.

Atleast Kidd and Camby made it to the postseason, unlike Kurt Thomas and Rasheed Wallace. 

Kurt Thomas is a favourite at the Garden, and he proved why this season. After being used sparingly by Woody all year, he played his best game of the year on the road against the Jazz on a broken foot to drag the Knicks out of a 4 game slump and into a 13 game win streak. It was a hearty but costly performance by the NBA journeyman, ending his season and leading to foot surgery.

And who could forget Sheed, who was looking good to start the year – knocking down 3’s, dropping in that timeless turnaround baseline jumper, giving the second unit some much needed offense and getting plenty of comical technicals, including this little beauty. Ultimately though, after two years of inactivity, his body couldn’t handle the night in night out banging down low and he called it quits in the middle of the season. It’s a shame, the Knicks bet big on the vets, but only two of six survived.

The ball don’t lie, neither do birth certificates.

Next up, the role guys: Felton, Smith, Novak, Copeland.

Felton is a tough, scoring (slashing not shooting) point guard who thrives in the pick and roll. Ray is OK, he’s solid, rarely hurts you, but I can’t see him marshalling a team to a championship. Smith took his polarizing play to a whole new level this year with his chalk and cheese regular to post season play, from 6th man of the year to generally a burden with one stupid swing of an elbow. He can shoot you in or out of a game, and a series. He has an opt out for next year which word is he’ll take, despite saying he wants to retire a Knick - gulp. Steve Novak can do one thing – shoot. It would be ok if you’ve got a system strong enough to hide in like say Matt Bonner for the Spurs, but even Bonner can be in the right place on defense, box out, and has a jump hook to go to when he drives. Not to mention the Spurs spacing is close to perfection, the Knicks spacing is streaky at best. The problem is that when you only do one thing well and everything else terribly, you’re useless in the playoffs, much to Miami and Indianas delight the last two years. If you are useless in the playoffs, and your team is supposed to be a contender – you’re a negative on the roster.

Now onto Chris Copeland. The man of the moment, Mike Woodsons last roll of the dice against the Pacers. Don’t get me wrong he was productive in games 5 and 6, but his production just showed how shallow the Knicks are offensively. Yes he has a knack for scoring, but he’s still not a good option, I bet Frank Vogel was delighted when Woody and the NY media started looking to 29 year old rookie journeyman fresh out of Belgium Chris Copeland to help carry the offense alongside the already overburdened Anthony.

Skipping past the totally irrelevant James White and Earl Barron, we arrive at…

The cap space monster: Amare Stoudemire.

He was an offensive threat in Phoenix because he was an incredible athlete, and when fed by Steve Nash he was a beast. His athleticism partially hid how bad he was on defense, as did the D’Antoni run and gun system. He’s lost the athleticism, Nash, and the system he was perfect for. His worth lies in being in the pick and roll, he is good at that, but that’s it. He’s a bad low post option, hasn’t been knocking down his foul line jumper consistently for a while. He’s a bad rebounder for his size and a terrible defender. Simply put, he does more damage than good. This reality is even more debilitating for the franchise given his horrible contract, which pretty much cripples the Knicks for the next few years, and explains the veteran quick fix contracts this year.

I’ll put my worn out over optimistic Knicks fan hat on for a second – even if he does get healthy, gets his jumper half consistent, gets his groove back with Felton (making Ray a whole lot more useful aswell) like the good (terrible) ol’ D’Antoni days… he’ll still be a problem! Because this interferes with one of the only good things to come out of this season – Melo at the 4.

Now onto the 3 potentially Championship pieces.

The first one is easy – Tyson Chandler. He was the difference maker in Dallas when they stunned Miami to get a ring, for that the Knicks gave him a big contract, and he repayed us by winning defensive player of the year in his first season. This year he underperformed, but he’s a valuable piece. He’s a great team defender and a great team-mate. He needs to be better than this year, but in his defense the roster was all over the place and he had a few annoying injuries – including the flu in the playoffs which limited his usual intensity.

The second guy is Iman Shumpert. He took a while to get his groove back after his ACL injury, but he really showed up in the playoffs, he is potentially the best perimeter defender in the league, and he’s a 22 year old sophomore. His jump shot has gotten better and he needs to work on his offense in general, but he gets the nod as a championship piece on his defense alone. Basketball attributes aside, this kid is made for New York, he was an instant fan favorite in the Garden in his home debut, and has shown this postseason that he’s not afraid of the lights as a lonely bright spot in the Indiana series.

Last but not least, the centerpiece, Mr Anthony. The Knicks gave up a lot to get Melo, who needs to step up if he wants bring a banner to New York. He needs to be MVP Melo, which is NOT scoring champ Melo but atleast 25, 10 and 5 Melo (29, 7 and 2.6 this year). He has the potential to do this, but he wasn’t there individually this year, nor did the pieces around him facilitate him getting there. That’s why I’m going to give his isolation heavy year a pass because 1) He had to score, who else was going to? And 2) Woodson lives and breathes isolations, the system made it hard for Melo to evolve. All year it was - isolate Anthony, when they double find the open man, if they don’t double go to work – when we knocked down the shots we looked great, when we didn’t we lost. It’s no surprise we struggled in the playoffs – as Magic said about the Warriors, jump shooting teams just don’t win championships. If the "greatest shooting backcourt of all time" (Mark Jackson) can’t win shooting jumpers, then neither can we. Yes it will work against bad teams in the regular season, but it is an awful game plan for the playoffs, as Indiana proved by just not doubling and making Melo beat them, which he couldn’t do, even with Chris Copeland as his right hand man – what a shock.

Winning the NBA title is about collective will (meaning there must be a true collective, a team – which is rarer than you think), a whole lot of luck, and most importantly – knowing what the other team is going to do and stopping it. This is where the Knicks make it so easy for teams by being so Melo-centric, good defensive teams beat good offensive players. Ask the isolation heavy Thunder last year, the isolation heavy Heat the year before. Ask Jordan about Detroit. This is where Melo and the Knicks have to grow. Unfortunately as much as I love Woodson’s solitary gobsmacked expression, his love of isolation offense will not help the Knicks win it all. We underperformed as a 2 seed not getting to the Conference Finals, and struggled against a Celtics team who literally didn’t have a point guard on the roster, and still caused the Knicks serious problems. A rondo-less Boston against a Melo-less Knick team would not have gone well for NY, because Boston has an offense that Rondo does a great job running, and we have an offense whose name is Carmelo.

In summation, we had a bad team (for a “contender”), and a bad year (for a “contender”), and somehow managed to make it look half reasonable.

The most painful part of it all is that we cannot win it all with Amare’s current contract – simple as that. We can’t improve a roster that’s already over the salary cap, and we haven’t got enough pieces as currently constituted. Buckle up for a few years of (predictable) playoff disappointments NY.

Being a Knick fan is fun.

 

 

 

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